Fyrir 27 \u00e1rum og 1 degi f\u00f3r McArthur Wheeler inn \u00ed tvo banka \u00ed Pittsburgh (hvorn \u00ed s\u00ednu lagi), mi\u00f0a\u00f0i byssu \u00e1 gjaldkera og heimta\u00f0i peninga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En \u00f3l\u00edkt \u00f6\u00f0rum bankar\u00e6ningjum ger\u00f0i hann enga tilraun til a\u00f0 fela \u00e1 s\u00e9r andliti\u00f0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
L\u00f6ggan dreif\u00f0i uppt\u00f6kum \u00far eftirlitsmyndav\u00e9lum, og var b\u00fain a\u00f0 g\u00f3ma hann seint sama kv\u00f6ld.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En McArthur tr\u00fa\u00f0i \u00feessu ekki, gat ekki skili\u00f0 hvernig \u00feau hef\u00f0u fundi\u00f0 hann! \u201eJ\u00e1 en \u00e9g var me\u00f0 dj\u00fasinn!!\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hann haf\u00f0i semsagt veri\u00f0 a\u00f0 sp\u00f6gglera hvort hann g\u00e6ti gert sig \u00f3s\u00fdnilegan me\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 maka sig \u00ed \u00f3s\u00fdnilegu bleki. Og hva\u00f0 skyldi vera h\u00e6gt a\u00f0 nota sem \u00f3s\u00fdnilegt blek … j\u00fa, s\u00edtr\u00f3nusafa!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En okkar ma\u00f0ur vildi vera viss, svo hann \u00e1kva\u00f0 a\u00f0 nota v\u00edsindalegar a\u00f0fer\u00f0ir til a\u00f0 athuga hvort \u00feetta st\u00e6\u00f0ist: Hann ju\u00f0a\u00f0i s\u00edtr\u00f3nusafa \u00e1 andliti\u00f0 og t\u00f3k self\u00ed (me\u00f0 Polaroid, \u00feetta var fyrir 27 \u00e1rum).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Viti menn! Hann s\u00e1st ekki \u00e1 myndinni!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hann logsvei\u00f0 \u00ed augun undan safanum, en \u00feetta virka\u00f0i greinilega!!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Svo hann var\u00f0 s\u00e9r \u00fati um byssu og skipulag\u00f0i tv\u00f6falt bankar\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
(Enginn veit af hverju hann s\u00e1st ekki \u00e1 myndinni, en sennilega t\u00f3kst honum a\u00f0 beina myndav\u00e9linni fr\u00e1 andlitinu \u00e1 s\u00e9r)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
S\u00e1lfr\u00e6\u00f0ingurinn David Dunning las fr\u00e9tt um \u00feetta og \u00ed huga hans var\u00f0 til tilg\u00e1ta, sem hann \u00e1kva\u00f0 a\u00f0 rannsaka \u00e1samt nemanda s\u00ednum, Justin Kruger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ni\u00f0ursta\u00f0an: \u00deeim mun minni kunn\u00e1ttu sem \u00fe\u00fa hefur \u00e1 einhverju svi\u00f0i, \u00feeim mun meira ofmetur\u00f0u kunn\u00e1ttu \u00fe\u00edna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
D\u00f6mur m\u00ednar og herrar: The Dunning-Kruger effect!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O j\u00fa, vi\u00f0 \u00feekkjum \u00f6ll Dunning-Kruger, ha? Vi\u00f0 erum alltaf a\u00f0 hitta einhverja vitleysinga sem eru svo vitlausir a\u00f0 \u00feeir hafa ekki minnstu hugmynd um hva\u00f0 \u00feeir eru vitlausir!! <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Plot twist!!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dunning-Kruger effect er b\u00f3gus:<\/p>\n\n\n\n